Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.093651 1.301074 1.518146 1.760737 2.022845 2.296200 2.601568
2025-02-02 0.860935 1.161508 1.495473 1.887495 2.329174 2.806298 3.355850
2025-02-09 0.747559 1.100965 1.509597 2.004022 2.574762 3.203362 3.939155
2025-02-16 0.638663 1.027684 1.495278 2.076998 2.762977 3.531013 4.442061
2025-02-23 0.532021 0.939328 1.448415 2.098773 2.880806 3.769250 4.835357
2025-03-02 0.406048 0.807666 1.334335 2.028090 2.880547 3.864306 5.059185
2025-03-09 0.298923 0.684433 1.217874 1.943372 2.854276 3.921539 5.232767
2025-03-16 0.226050 0.598279 1.140902 1.900536 2.872296 4.025480 5.455706
2025-03-23 0.187719 0.559924 1.125061 1.933221 2.980874 4.235182 5.800892
2025-03-30 0.148051 0.511433 1.089926 1.936757 3.050198 4.395680 6.086418
2025-04-06 0.107927 0.452307 1.033366 1.907140 3.074239 4.498860 6.301886
2025-04-13 0.095253 0.445347 1.054604 1.983286 3.233342 4.766672 6.713915
2025-04-20 0.085383 0.445085 1.089749 2.084696 3.433307 5.094729 7.211034
2025-04-27 0.079101 0.452233 1.137181 2.204726 3.659597 5.457944 7.753985
2025-05-04 0.075803 0.465594 1.194101 2.337728 3.902410 5.841163 8.320586
2025-05-11 0.064635 0.456006 1.212223 2.414787 4.071595 6.133235 8.777510
2025-05-18 0.048424 0.426744 1.194919 2.439141 4.170044 6.336518 9.126350
2025-05-25 0.025643 0.362253 1.110985 2.362194 4.130840 6.365622 9.261844
2025-06-01 0.009766 0.298936 1.020691 2.270214 4.067357 6.361083 9.353617
2025-06-08 0.002816 0.256628 0.963215 2.223583 4.062004 6.427233 9.529274
2025-06-15 0.000954 0.242473 0.959435 2.259156 4.169058 6.636450 9.881216
2025-06-22 0.000014 0.220185 0.936397 2.262999 4.231253 6.787613 10.160973
2025-06-29 NaN 0.189947 0.892222 2.230778 4.241586 6.870975 10.355809